Publications - Exclusive Analysis

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Foresight

Every year EA publishes 'Foresight' which offers a detailed look at the evolving political and violent risk environments around the world for the year ahead. The analytical team at Exclusive Analysis spend much of their normal working day analysing specific risks to particular assets all over the globe. The yearbook is a welcome opportunity for them to communicate externally some of the broader global issues that inform their everyday analysis, and allows them to anticipate the relevant questions businesspeople and government policy makers will face. As such, the yearbook offers a chance to step back and think about the issues most likely to develop in at least the year ahead, if not longer.

To order a copy of the yearbook click here.

Published Reports

Periodically EA publishes detailed reports giving the strategic outlook for a particular country, industry or geo-political issue. These are often accompanied buy seminars which are free to attend and are advertised on the homepage of the website.

To view past reports click here.

Argentina: Political Risk: Government's vendetta against Grupo Clarin undermines legal stability in the media industry, including broadband and cable TV. :: Niger: Terrorism: AQIM’s expansion into southern Niger raises kidnap risks to aid agency personnel in Maradi and Zinder regions. :: Romania: Political Risk: Russia-Romania espionage row shows Moscow is stepping up pressure ahead of key September energy talks :: Bulgaria: Political Risk: Despite pro-Nabucco rhetoric, Bulgaria will continue to favour Russia on South Stream and Belene energy projects. :: Romania: Political Risk: Gabriel Resources' legal and media campaign will likely yield government approval to exploit Rosia Montana gold deposit :: South Africa: Regulatory Risk: Reform of South Africa’s centrepiece mining legislation is set to enhance the transparency of applications for prospecting rights. :: Ghana: Contract risk: The termination of the Kosmos-Exxon Jubilee oil field deal raises contract risks and will lead to reduced US investment and donor aid. :: Philippines: War/Terrorism: An offensive against NPA rebels is unlikely to significantly affect mining, but firms in Mindanao face extortion-related attacks. :: Brazil: Contract/Regulatory Risk: The energy regulator is likely to carry out deeper inspections of Petrobras facilities, raising the risk of new shutdowns. :: Mexico: Terrorism: Gangs are increasingly targeting road cargo in Mexico City, México, Puebla and Veracruz; vehicles and pharmaceuticals are top targets. :: Afghanistan: All Risks: Private security companies will likely face increased difficulties in operating; attacks on private security guards will likely increase. :: Saudi Arabia: Terrorism: Expatriates and Saudi officials are at risk of ambush while in transit, with execution the most likely outcome of any kidnap scenario.