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Colombia: Terrorism: Kidnapping is increasing, but is unlikely to return to historic high levels; foreigners tend to make up around 2% of victims. :: Nigeria: Regulatory Risk: Oil firms are likely to come under increased threat of prosecution and political pressure over oil spills ahead of 2011 elections. :: UAE: Non-Payment Risk: Dubai World’s restructuring is unlikely to proceed as planned and the Dubai government probably lacks the means to support it. :: UK: Terrorism: Demonstrative IED attacks or targeted assassinations in mainland UK by dissident republicans are likely over the next six months. :: Kazakhstan: Expropriation / Contract Risks: A pre-emptive purge of the southern elite looks increasingly likely to mean a reallocation of commercial assets. :: China: Civil Unrest: Independent unions are unlikely, but collective contracts and coordinated strikes are likely to increase in the next five years. :: Afghanistan: All Risks: Private security companies will likely face increased difficulties in operating; attacks on private security guards will likely increase. :: Colombia: Terrorism/War: Urban terrorism and drug-related criminality are likely to be the greatest security challenges for President Juan Manuel Santos. :: Argentina: Non-Payment Risk: The debt swap and very strong tax revenues are improving the outlook for sovereign and sub-sovereign bonds significantly. :: Egypt: A week of civil unrest could be expected in the event of President Mubarak's death, but changes in foreign or economic policy would be unlikely. :: Russia: Contract Risk: Russia has imposed a ban on all grain exports until 31 December 2010; Ukraine will likely introduce export quotas within two months. :: Pakistan: All Risks: Risks of a coup are likely to increase in the one-year outlook as the government struggles to rehabilitate over two million IDPs. :: Saudi Arabia: Political Stability: King Abdullah has increased his power at the expense of his half-brothers, mitigating risks to foreign firms post-succession. :: Mexico: Terrorism: Gangs are increasingly targeting road cargo in Mexico City, México, Puebla and Veracruz; vehicles and pharmaceuticals are top targets. :: Chile: Terrorism: Extremist indigenous Mapuche groups are likely to increase arson attacks against timber firms and farms in the Southern Araucania region. :: Mexico: Terrorism: Cartel bombings are likely to target police and media; risks of collateral damage and death/injury are rising, especially in Tamaulipas. :: Lebanon: Terrorism: Syrian-backed efforts to weaken Hizbullah militarily in Sunni-Shia areas are likely to limit sectarian violence temporarily in Beirut. :: Indonesia: Contract Risk: Mining and palm oil companies face a moratorium on their expansion plans in forested areas. :: Senegal: Contract Risk: Deteriorating government revenues increase risks to large state infrastructure projects and suppliers to SENELEC and SAR.