Our online Country Risk Evaluation and Assessment Model (CREAM) covers all countries across war, terrorism, civil unrest and political risks.
To demonstrate the full value of CREAM we offer personalised and interactive demonstration sessions over the telephone or via webex.
If you would like to view a demo, please either fill out the form below or contact Ed Lowes at edward.lowes@exclusive-analysis.com or on +44 (0) 20 7868 1939 leaving your name, company and telephone number. We will contact you within two working days to arrange a time for your demo.
If you would like to view a demo, please enter your details below
Upcoming Events
IUA Market Briefing
22 January 2009
Simon Sole and Kirsten Parker will be presenting on 'Global hotspots and developing trends for political risk and violent risk in 2009'
For more information, please contact Georgie Elston.
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International Petroleum Week
17 & 18 February 2009
On 17 February Teymur Huseynov is presenting on 'The Changing 'Rules of the Game' in Russia's Energy Sector'
On 18 February Zaineb Al-Assam is presenting on 'Saudi's Upstream Energy Exploration and Development: Political Risks and Opportunities'
For more information, please contact Georgie Elston.
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RIMS 2009 Annual Conference and Exhibition, Orlando
21 April 2009
Simon Sole will be speaking on a panel discussing 'Trade Disruption - Supply Chain Risk Management'
For more information, please contact Georgie Elston.
Customised Reports, Briefings and Telephone Contact with Analysts
Exclusive Analysis uses its global source network to provide clients with detailed forecasts about how certain perils are likely to affect specific assets. Risk reports might, for example, forecast the likelihood that on a given time period:
- A mining company will have its operating licence cancelled in Argentina
- Russia’s government will issue a demand for unpaid back taxes on a Western energy company
- A hotel in Cairo will suffer a terrorist attack
- An Iranian bank will fail to honour a letter of credit
- Oil product deliveries will be disrupted in Turkmenistan
The team in London gives regular briefings to clients on changes to the global political risk environment and the commercial implications likely to follow as a result. Regional experts are also available to discuss risks and opportunities over the phone.
Online Risk Forecasting and Modelling
Our industry-leading Country Risk Evaluation and Assessment Model (CREAM) is an on-line facility. CREAM models War, Terrorism, Civil Unrest and Political Risk in 180 countries. In high threat countries it models violent risks at specific asset locations (e.g. a user selected power station in Colombia). It also contains over 200,000 risk relevant events which are supported by over 5,000 action-ready assessments.
Bulletin Service
We are committed to resolving the information overload problem for our clients and regularly refining our intelligence bulletins to capture and collate specific events, trends and themes. Below are the bulletins currently offered and we are also able to customise bulletins according to specific client interest. Contact us at info@exclusive-analysis.com for more details.
Daily Intelligence Bulletins
These provide a snapshot of the most significant risk-relevant events during the previous 24 hours to enable quick and efficient monitoring of developments affecting business interests. Each event is captured in a single sentence and where possible linked to a news story in English. The following streams are available:
1. Intelligence Bulletin: Provides a global overview of key violent and political risk
relevant events in each region.
2. Regional Bulletins: Provide a more specific regional overview than the Intelligence Bulletin, allowing clients to keep on top of key developments in the following regions:
a) Africa
b) Asia
c) Eurasia
d) Latin America
e) Middle East and North Africa
f) North America
g) Western Europe
3. Violent Risk Intelligence Bulletin: Provides a global overview of significant violent risks, including war, terrorism and civil unrest events.
4. Political Risk Intelligence Bulletin: Provides a global overview of significant political risks, including regime stability, expropriation, licence cancellation, capital/trade flows and corruption.
5. Sector-specific Intelligence Bulletins: Provide key events relating to the following sectors:
a) Aviation: Events include hijackings, airport security, bomb threats, seizure or theft of anti-aircraft weaponry, airstrikes by the military, licence revocations and other significant risks related to airports, airlines, aircraft or helicopters.
b) Cargo: Events include theft, destruction or disruption of cargo whether stored or in transit by aircraft, ship, truck or train. Cargo may include containers, liquids, dry bulk or cash.
c) Energy: Bulletin includes incidents involving the oil, gas, electricity, nuclear, wind, solar, hydroelectric and biofuels industries. Events reported include attacks on infrastructure, major investments or discoveries, border or resource disputes, and the granting or revocation of licences.
d) Marine/Offshore: Bulletin includes risks related to shipping, ferries, offshore oil rigs, piracy, cruise ships and ports. Reported events include civil unrest at ports, improvements in security, investments in infrastructure or changes in regulation.
Weekly Bulletins
6. Global Jihad Intelligence Bulletin: Captures key events concerning risks posed by the global jihad movement to government, military and commercial assets and includes notice of the release of online communiqués.
7. Global Risk Forecast: Provides decision-ready 300-word assessments forecasting the development of significant political and violent risk environments.
8. Political Violence Global Risk Forecast: Provides decision-ready 300-word assessments focussed on significant developments within violent risk environments worldwide.
9. Natural Resources Global Risk Forecast: Provides decision-ready 300-word assessments related to risks to the Natural Resources sector.
10. Country Index Changes Weekly Bulletin: Notifies clients of the changes to risk ratings within the Country Risk Evaluation and Assessment Model (CREAM).
Monthly Bulletins
11. Executive Global Risk Forecast: Contains a selection of 15 pieces from the Global Risk Forecast bulletins of the month to recap and highlight key forecasts.
12. Iran’s Nuclear Timetable: Part of our “Understanding the Iran Crisis” service, this monthly update provides analysis on the latest developments and commercial consequences of Iran’s nuclear crisis.
Case by Case Bulletins
13. Major Incident Response Assessment: Provides an immediate assessment of the commercial significance and consequences arising from major political events and significant terrorist attacks.
14. Special Report: Forecasts future developments of particular commercial significance, for example the implications of key political decisions.
Major Thematic Reports
For example - ‘Understanding the Iran Crisis’. Exclusive Analysis' Iran Crisis Team's 50-page interim assessment ''Iran's Nuclear Timetable: Understanding the Political Risks'' is now available. This assessment is the first instalment of our ''Understanding the Iran Crisis'' service.
Realistic Disaster Scenario (RDS) Modelling & Probable maximum Loss (PML) Modelling
We provide detailed modelling, scenario analysis and probabilistic forecasts of a wide variety of disaster scenarios including political as well as violent risks. Our detailed PML modelling and exposure forecasting is used for both violent and political risks.
Watchlists
Two of our products identify countries, and regions within countries, where risks to shipping and the transportation of cargo (by land, sea or air) are most extreme: the free-to-view Cargo Watchlist to Lloyd's Joint Cargo Committee and the Exclusive Analysis Marine Watchlist.